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Post by bogbrush Fri Oct 02, 2020 7:07 pm

I can only see Thiem having a chance of beating Djokovic. Nadal will be run into the ground by Djokovic, he’ll just extend rallies & push him about.

Unfortunately I don’t see Thiem getting past Nadal.

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Post by Tenez Fri Oct 02, 2020 8:04 pm

I think Zverev can hurt Nadal actually. He is an injured man after the USO final and that may help him relax his nerves.
Then if Nadal is pushed v Zverev it will make the task easier for Thiem unless Schwartz makes it even more difficult for Thiem. This is where Nadal has again a huge piece of luck.

Hopefully something will get in the way of Djoko too.

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Post by Tenez Fri Oct 02, 2020 8:09 pm

And Zverev inflicted a convincing defeat to Nadal last time they played. Plus he gave Nadal a good run on clay in Rome last year before rain saved Nadal. So pretty open there... Maybe.

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Post by naxroy Fri Oct 02, 2020 8:19 pm

Djokovic doesnt have anyone between him and the final

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Post by naxroy Fri Oct 02, 2020 8:20 pm

Zverev may have a chance only because of the heavy conditions.

Sunny chartrier is only Nadal, not even Djoko

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Post by Tenez Fri Oct 02, 2020 9:08 pm

naxroy wrote:Sunny chartrier is only Nadal, not even Djoko
very arguable. It was sunny when in 2013 on Chatrier Djoko had an easy smash for a double break in that 5th set.....

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Post by naxroy Fri Oct 02, 2020 11:23 pm

Tenez wrote:
naxroy wrote:Sunny chartrier is only Nadal, not even Djoko
very arguable. It was sunny when in 2013 on Chatrier Djoko had an easy smash for a double break in that 5th set.....


and he lost

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Post by naxroy Fri Oct 02, 2020 11:24 pm

actually that fourth set should had gone in nadals way, but in the same way Novak lost his chance in the 5th, nadal kept him alive in the fourth

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Post by N2D2L Fri Oct 02, 2020 11:29 pm

Yeah Nadal was serving for the 4th set at 6-5 and then made some really silly errors.

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Post by N2D2L Fri Oct 02, 2020 11:30 pm

Also Tenez, you've got the details wrong. The smash for Djokovic would not have secured him a double break, but just a hold.

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Post by naxroy Fri Oct 02, 2020 11:34 pm

actually they were 4-3 for nole who was serving to consolidate a previous break. they were 40-40 so that point would have meant advantage for novak. but it was not game point and it was not for a double break up either

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Post by N2D2L Fri Oct 02, 2020 11:48 pm

Yeah by hold, I meant it was on his service game. He won the next point after that, so he probably would have held actually if he had won that point.

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Post by Tenez Sat Oct 03, 2020 12:10 am

naxroy wrote:actually that fourth set should had gone in nadals way, but in the same way Novak lost his chance in the 5th, nadal kept him alive in the fourth
only because Djokovic completely lost his focus for a set and a half. A very weird macth.

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Post by N2D2L Sat Oct 03, 2020 1:06 am


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Post by naxroy Sat Oct 03, 2020 11:48 am

Rublev, quite convincing

Carreño very solid so far

Berretini in serious danger

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Post by naxroy Sat Oct 03, 2020 1:33 pm

I think maybe Bautista would have had more options against Novak

lets see what Almaier is capable of anyway.

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Post by Tenez Sat Oct 03, 2020 5:49 pm

Djokovic is so quick on his feet that he makes it look he anticipates very well. he has the time on his side thanks to his footwork. 

One will need to produce lots of pace to make him rush and hit the ball in uncomfortable positions. 

Only Covid could sort him out I fear.

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Post by naxroy Sat Oct 03, 2020 6:00 pm

about beating Djokovic, 

Thiem can do it on clay

this 34 yeard old Nadal I have my doubts, but one has to count on the champion of the last three editions  and 12 times champion in 15 years

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Post by Tenez Sat Oct 03, 2020 6:49 pm

Frankly 34 is ok...look at Djoko he is 33 and has never been so dominant. And look at Nadal his first rounds wins are as easy as ever. 

However Djoko is now a much better player than Nadal...has been for a long while but went through injuries that did not give the full extend of how much better djoko is at that lung busting game.

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Post by Jahu Sat Oct 03, 2020 7:42 pm

Lets hope Kachanov can beat the shit out of Djocovid.

This slam is equal to some U18 I go see time to time, joke so far.

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Post by naxroy Sat Oct 03, 2020 8:34 pm

Tenez wrote:Frankly 34 is ok...look at Djoko he is 33 and has never been so dominant. And look at Nadal his first rounds wins are as easy as ever. 

However Djoko is now a much better player than Nadal...has been for a long while but went through injuries that did not give the full extend of how much better djoko is at that lung busting game.


I can agree about Novak beeing better overall
but not on clay.

injuries both of them have had them so none can use it as an excuse...

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Post by Tenez Sat Oct 03, 2020 11:24 pm

naxroy wrote:
Tenez wrote:Frankly 34 is ok...look at Djoko he is 33 and has never been so dominant. And look at Nadal his first rounds wins are as easy as ever. 

However Djoko is now a much better player than Nadal...has been for a long while but went through injuries that did not give the full extend of how much better djoko is at that lung busting game.


I can agree about Novak being better overall
but not on clay.

injuries both of them have had them so none can use it as an excuse...
We cannot put all injuries in the same bag. 

I would agree that Djokovic struggles a bit more on clay than Nadal versus the rest of the field cause he has not that nasty spin on the ball which requires getting used to but Djoko (who is used to that spin) is better than Nadal regardless the surface and he will prove it this time again. To me he has been a better player on clay since 2011. Nadal has been extremely lucky with draws at the French and Djokovic has had to battle it more.

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Post by naxroy Sat Oct 03, 2020 11:41 pm

I know you think that, you ve exposed such thoughts several times in the forum, but it simply doesnt make sense to me,  seeing results since 2011 on clay by both of them and in between them.

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Post by naxroy Sat Oct 03, 2020 11:44 pm

Luck can be a factor in a tournament here and there, maybe even all over one season, but its ten seasons already since 2011

and just look at the achievements on clay

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Post by N2D2L Sun Oct 04, 2020 1:44 am

Luck has unfortunately played a huge part.

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Post by bogbrush Sun Oct 04, 2020 10:29 am

This Polish girl Swiatek can really play. Hope she keeps it up.

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Post by naxroy Sun Oct 04, 2020 10:50 am

really impressed by Swiatek (considering the opponent), didnt know her

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Post by Tenez Sun Oct 04, 2020 10:54 am

naxroy wrote:Luck can be a factor in a tournament here and there, maybe even all over one season, but its ten seasons already since 2011

and just look at the achievements on clay
Achievement is based on one player doing well against the rest of the field. On clay Nadal has done much better for the reason I gave above (ball being difficult to get used to). 

Djoko has not got this nasty ball preventing players to have a good day. Nadal simply destroys or reduces the chance for a player to find a good timing and have a good day, especially if not used to that game. 

But with more exposure players have flared better v Nadal....and less against Djokovic (and even Federer). 

Nadal has no weapon v Djokovic (nor has he now v Federer unless a storm comes to mess things up). 

And age has nothing to do with it....as Federer has proven.

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Post by bogbrush Sun Oct 04, 2020 11:16 am

Jeez, she’s really played her off the Court.

Stunning. I hope she goes all the way. She’s got far more to her game than Osaka or Halep for that matter. And she’d kill the big fat lump, she’d be run into the ground in a set from the variety.

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Post by bogbrush Sun Oct 04, 2020 11:22 am

Poor old Tim Herman. He misses by a day Barbara Schett wearing a pretty amazing pair of super-tight red trousers with mega high heels. Basically, she was a painted nude and that girl has an imposing pair of pins. You’re taking your life into your hands there.

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Post by naxroy Sun Oct 04, 2020 11:37 am

Ok, clay since 2011, head to head:

8-7 for nadal, pretty balanced, but you cannot say Novak is leading here, and in the last 3 years its 3-0 for nadal

Achievements:

Nadal 7 Roland garros (out of 9)
Novak 1 Roland garros (out of 9)
Here there is not even a possible comparison, over 9 seasons it is not a matter of luck, Nadal is the abosolute king in Paris and Novak has only won the tournament once in this period. Also in this period he was beaten by nadal 3 times and he beat nadal once

Nadal 12
Novak 9
Pretty balanced also, but it cannot be said that Nole has been stronger here either
its true anyway that in clay masters since 2011 novak has beaten nadal 6 times and lost against the spanish only 5 times


After all this data, considering achievements but also direct encounters, since 2011 one can say it is pretty close, but in no way it can be said that Novak has been better


and this is counting only since 2011, as you exposed that NOvak is a better player on clay since that year

One thing is true, in direct encounters its been pretty balanced since then

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Post by Tenez Sun Oct 04, 2020 12:07 pm

naxroy wrote:Ok, clay since 2011, head to head:

8-7 for nadal, pretty balanced, but you cannot say Novak is leading here, and in the last 3 years its 3-0 for nadal
Well yes close and we know Djokovic was particularly in poor form in 2017 and 18. Nadal clearly doesn't even try to play when not 120%.

Anyway, if Nadal wins this FO v Djoko I will happily admit I was wrong even if Djokovic wins in a 5 setter. But I know Djokovic is twice as good as Nadal regardless the surface and will win easily next sunday, should they meet. And that should prove my point. Shouldn't it?

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Post by naxroy Sun Oct 04, 2020 12:48 pm

Well a match doesnt change 10 years I would say. And these conditions are totally abnormal

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Post by Tenez Sun Oct 04, 2020 1:08 pm

Ias you say those 10 years are pretty balanced. Ibut we know Nadal has had his share of luck.... But it's not going to be close.

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Post by naxroy Sun Oct 04, 2020 1:15 pm

Pretty balanced in h2h (and yet Nadal ahead) not in achievements


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Post by Tenez Sun Oct 04, 2020 2:22 pm

You are saying the conds don't suit him but he is cutting through with more ease then ever. Exactly what I have been saying for years. Those guys get better with time.... And it's harder and harder for the youngsters. If Nadal loses its only because someone is better than him.

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Post by Tenez Sun Oct 04, 2020 2:42 pm

Zverev being trained by Murray's coaches and playing like Murray....just waiting for errors. Pathetic!

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Post by naxroy Sun Oct 04, 2020 2:43 pm

Tenez wrote:You are saying the conds don't suit him but he is cutting through with more ease then ever. Exactly what I have been saying for years.  Those guys get better with time.... And it's harder and harder for the youngsters. If Nadal loses its only because someone is better than him.


given their long history together, if novak beats nadal next sunday, it will mean novak was better in that match and you can also think he is better now on clay. but of course, CV still will say 12-2 and 25-10

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Post by naxroy Sun Oct 04, 2020 2:44 pm

and I dont have it so clear that nadal will make it to sunday

thiem looks like a great threat now

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Post by naxroy Sun Oct 04, 2020 2:46 pm

Sinner looks pretty good

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Post by Tenez Sun Oct 04, 2020 2:49 pm

Sinner will be made to move by Nadal and he is not ready for that yet. Shame cause he has a good game and will hurt badly soon if he carries on improving physically.

He looks pretty composed for a youngster.

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Post by Tenez Sun Oct 04, 2020 3:04 pm

Zverev needs to stands further back and run much more.....That's the way forward for this gutless player.

Glad Rublev will overtake him soon.

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Post by bogbrush Sun Oct 04, 2020 3:08 pm

Done him good there.

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Post by bogbrush Sun Oct 04, 2020 3:10 pm

God wouldn’t it enliven this sport if a new name cut right through. It won’t happen but can you imagine the excitement?

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Post by Tenez Sun Oct 04, 2020 3:15 pm

I think we have a few very good youngsters. Look at Thiem or Schwartz they are only getting closer to the top 2 cause they are aging. I am pretty sure it will take much less time for the likes of Sinner.

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Post by Wise_Analyst Sun Oct 04, 2020 3:25 pm

Could not agree more with the comments around Zverev. Utter waste of space. Never seen anyone be on the receiving end of so many chokes despite being such a shit player.

The ironic thing is that the one time he played a half decent match he was the one who ended up choking in hilarious style.

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Post by summerblues Sun Oct 04, 2020 3:54 pm

Nadal's draw starting to look much better.  His first four rounds were very easy but prospect of having to play Zverev-Thiem-Nole back-to-back looked daunting.  With Zverev gone, it is now just Thiem and Nole, and if one of those two goes out early, all of a sudden Nadal's path will be quite clean.

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Post by summerblues Sun Oct 04, 2020 3:56 pm

Both USO and here a lot of youngsters are making it through.  Refreshing.

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Post by N2D2L Sun Oct 04, 2020 6:52 pm

Zverev had a fever and was feeling breathless today and yesterday.
Last had a COVID test 5 days ago.

Is he out of his fucking mind?

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Post by N2D2L Sun Oct 04, 2020 6:53 pm

He could have infected Sinner, who in turn will infect Nadal on Tuesday. Fucking disaster.

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