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US Open - 2019

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Post by barrystar Mon Sep 02, 2019 3:05 pm

legendkillar wrote:
barrystar wrote:
legendkillar wrote:
barrystar wrote:Agree with lk that Fed's w/o at the WTF in 2014 was v. much not his finest hour, but perhaps 'appalling' is a bit tough.  He came in with pretty good form and won four matches before scratching (including a mini epic vs. Stan), and he lost in straight-sets to Monfils on the first day of the DC final.  Those results tended to show that the problems which caused him to scratch were both late in coming, i.e. not necessarily predictable when he entered the WTF, and genuine enough.  Maybe he would have risked them if Switzerland were not in the DC final....


I thought of it as appalling given how much time there was to make a decision. I mean he had months. He's been spot on with scheduling. Plus such a statement would've given the DC the shot in the arm it needed (and still does!) that a top player puts stock in it.

Even now it strikes me odd someone reaches the final and pulls out. I could've even stomached a tank in the group stages. I just think if you go that far, just see it out. To then have the paying crowd endure an exhibition match was the poo frosting on a poo cake!

He perhaps should have given Paris a miss after winning Shanghai and Basel, but it did look as though the problem cropped up then and there.

I get your wider point - Federer usually gets this stuff right.

He should've missed the WTF given how close it was to the DC. I think now the gap is 2 weeks? The WTF he would still be in contention the following year whereas DC, totally dependent on other team members performance and fitness levels.

Absolutely. He's spot on normally, but this is the one rarity where he wasn't.

If he was fine going into the WTF why miss it?  The problem evidently cropped up during the course of the tournament.  Where I am with you more globally is that he gave himself a big schedule in 2014 of 85 matches - more than he'd done for a while and after the problems he'd had in 2013, so he was taking a bigger risk than normal.  Paris would still seem to me to be the more usual tournament to miss - but one caveat against me is that the DC final was on clay.

Anyway - let's see what happens here.

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Post by legendkillar Mon Sep 02, 2019 3:09 pm

bogbrush wrote:That's a bit tough; it only happened because of that epic with Stan. Had that been a reasonable match I'm certain there'd have been no problem. He could hardly anticipate that could he? 

That one is especially stupid when you consider Osaka's mixed race! And to put my own circumstance in context I speak as a man whose grandson is mixed race. He got his mums (fair) complexion and his Dads (curly) hair. Looks rather stylish actually.

You can. Would be somewhat foolish of him to even begin to assume a BO3 would not go 3 sets. Any player in a BO3 or BO5 should always prepare for 3 sets or 5 sets respectively. If there was a hint of doubt that going the full distance in any of those matches would not give him enough recovery time, don't play. It's not tough. He got it wrong. It's a smaller field, so if he saw players that could give him a tough match or even tire him out, don't take the risk if you have your eyes on a bigger prize which he did. In every other part of his scheduling he's been flawless. This was a case he knew he had to be in and out unscathed and with a field which is the best of the best, bit of a reckless gamble if you ask me.

Oh it is stupid. I for one know racism is rife in many areas of society, but does annoy me when it stupidly and irresponsibly gets applied left, right and centre.

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Post by legendkillar Mon Sep 02, 2019 3:13 pm

barrystar wrote:
legendkillar wrote:
barrystar wrote:
legendkillar wrote:
barrystar wrote:Agree with lk that Fed's w/o at the WTF in 2014 was v. much not his finest hour, but perhaps 'appalling' is a bit tough.  He came in with pretty good form and won four matches before scratching (including a mini epic vs. Stan), and he lost in straight-sets to Monfils on the first day of the DC final.  Those results tended to show that the problems which caused him to scratch were both late in coming, i.e. not necessarily predictable when he entered the WTF, and genuine enough.  Maybe he would have risked them if Switzerland were not in the DC final....


I thought of it as appalling given how much time there was to make a decision. I mean he had months. He's been spot on with scheduling. Plus such a statement would've given the DC the shot in the arm it needed (and still does!) that a top player puts stock in it.

Even now it strikes me odd someone reaches the final and pulls out. I could've even stomached a tank in the group stages. I just think if you go that far, just see it out. To then have the paying crowd endure an exhibition match was the poo frosting on a poo cake!

He perhaps should have given Paris a miss after winning Shanghai and Basel, but it did look as though the problem cropped up then and there.

I get your wider point - Federer usually gets this stuff right.

He should've missed the WTF given how close it was to the DC. I think now the gap is 2 weeks? The WTF he would still be in contention the following year whereas DC, totally dependent on other team members performance and fitness levels.

Absolutely. He's spot on normally, but this is the one rarity where he wasn't.

If he was fine going into the WTF why miss it?  The problem evidently cropped up during the course of the tournament.  Where I am with you more globally is that he gave himself a big schedule in 2014 of 85 matches - more than he'd done for a while and after the problems he'd had in 2013, so he was taking a bigger risk than normal.  Paris would still seem to me to be the more usual tournament to miss - but one caveat against me is that the DC final was on clay.

Anyway - let's see what happens here.

If he was fine, why miss the final? It's not so much about him being fine. Just more if he wanted more of a breather going into the DC, just skip the WTF. I would've if I had a chance at DC glory that in all likelihood wouldn't come up again.

Indeed lets see how this weeks unfold. Slightly getting my hopes up. I did this at Wimbledon and look what happened Winking

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Post by legendkillar Mon Sep 02, 2019 3:19 pm

Tenez wrote:I'd disagree with LK here.

Can we say to a player who reaches the Final of a prestigious tournament that he should have rested because his back deteriorated along the way?

That does not make sense to me. And as we know a back pain can come and go.


We saw how Fed won Wimbledon 2012 with a back pain where we thought for a while he would lose to in straight sets to Benetteau. There was always a risk he would feel just too much pain after his Benetteau match and "should have retired or simply not enter Wimbledon as some of us saw a clear pain at the FO 12 already (well documented here).

No I am afraid, one cannot blame Federer for withdrawing from that London final. Sad....but hey that's sport.

On the other hand I agree that Djoko shouldl have made the effort to roll the ball 2 more service games and give the win to Stan and the crowd.

However if I were Djoko, I would not care much about the crowd....they don't really like him and it seems they never will. So why please them? Lendl was the same in a different style. I loved the fact Lendl was disliked by most and loved by a few. Djoko is simply liked by Serbs...not many outside the country.


Eh? What on earth are you on about?

We are talking the DC. So the final is known well in advance and if anything makes scheduling ten times easier! If you are seriously taking the road of the semi final encounter with Stan bollocks'd his back up so much he couldn't play the following day but recovered enough to play 3 BO5 on clay the following week, I can't help you indulge that belief.

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Post by summerblues Mon Sep 02, 2019 4:11 pm

What do you guys think of Marin's chances today?

He beat Rafa last time they met in a slam. His form has been poor this year, but maybe it is on the mend now that he is in Rd4. A well playing Cilic is to me one of the toughest opponents outside Nole/Fed that Rafa can face. That is still not very tough, but who is very tough for Rafa?

I have some (misplaced?) hopes.

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Post by bogbrush Mon Sep 02, 2019 4:15 pm

summerblues wrote:What do you guys think of Marin's chances today?

He beat Rafa last time they met in a slam.  His form has been poor this year, but maybe it is on the mend now that he is in Rd4.  A well playing Cilic is to me one of the toughest opponents outside Nole/Fed that Rafa can face.  That is still not very tough, but who is very tough for Rafa?

I have some (misplaced?) hopes.
Nah, I'd like it but I don't see it coming. His flakiness is made for Nadal.

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Post by Tenez Mon Sep 02, 2019 4:33 pm

I have not seen either of them play at the USO this year, so cannot say precisely.

But we know Nadal fears pace and Cilic has some it. PLus Cilic has the experience of playing Nadal so knows what to expect. The ball bounces at the right heighth for him and finally, Cilic has already won the USO....so I am not sure Nadal will have that easy.

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Post by Jahu Mon Sep 02, 2019 4:48 pm

Cilic as an early trigger puller, if in mood has some chance, that is if he doesn't melt in the changing room.

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Post by summerblues Mon Sep 02, 2019 5:22 pm

Jahu wrote:Cilic as an early trigger puller, if in mood has some chance, that is if he doesn't melt in the changing room.
I will be optimistic.  This is Rd4, not a final, and the expectations from him are low.  A low pressure situation.  So why should he melt?

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Post by barrystar Mon Sep 02, 2019 5:38 pm

Poor old Cilic's form has stunk this year.  I don't give him an earthly vs. Nadal who will be super pumped.  In their 6-2 H2H Cilic's two wins were when Nadal was in a bad way physically (2009) or he retired (2018 Aus O).  It looks as though Nadal is in good shape and good form on hard having won Canada and taken Cincinnati off, whilst Cilic has had a patchy year.  

Unless something goes very strangely wrong in the match he's marching on to a QF vs. Zverev or Schwartzman (against whom Nadal has a combined H2H of 12-0), and a SF vs. one of four men whose collective H2H vs. him is 2-17 (both losses to Monfils).

For comparison's sake, Federer is 33-3 combined vs. his remaining side of the draw - the 3 losses coming to Stan on clay.

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Post by summerblues Mon Sep 02, 2019 5:49 pm

barrystar wrote:Poor old Cilic's form has stunk this year.  I don't give him an earthly vs. Nadal who will be super pumped.  In their 6-2 H2H Cilic's two wins were when Nadal was in a bad way physically (2009) or he retired (2018 Aus O).  It looks as though Nadal is in good shape and good form on hard having won Canada and taken Cincinnati off, whilst Cilic has had a patchy year.
Nadal looked reasonably fine in 2018 AO until his match vs Cilic if I remember it correctly.

Cilic's form is obviously a concern, but he is now in Rd4 of a slam, who is to say he cannot find good form again?

I am not going to pretend that I expect Rafa to lose, but I hope he will be at least tested - I would be quite unhappy if it ends up in three easy straight sets of 6:4, 6:3, 6:4 variety.

Hopefully Cilic surprises and wins.

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Post by summerblues Mon Sep 02, 2019 5:58 pm

I want to see Rublev today.  The last I saw him (live at the USO) a couple of years ago, he was blasting everything in sight.  If he has matured since then and added some variety, he might have potential to have a good career.

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Post by summerblues Mon Sep 02, 2019 7:44 pm

Berrettini easily takes the first set.

It looks like Rublev still knows one speed only and keeps hitting everything like there is no tomorrow.  I cannot see how he will ever become consistently successful that way.  I mean, who knows, he may still win today if he reduces the error count, but blasting ball after ball will always be prone to meltdowns.

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Post by bogbrush Mon Sep 02, 2019 8:36 pm

Zvetev really is so mediocre. Little Diego might be limited but he has real guts.

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Post by Tenez Mon Sep 02, 2019 8:43 pm

I havenow subscribed to Eurosport france and can finally watch the USO...

Berretinni's game reminds me Raonic's.

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Post by Tenez Mon Sep 02, 2019 8:46 pm

Rublev returns very well. He makes more UEs than the top 3 for now but I expect him to improve as he already since last time I saw him play (prior his injury).

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Post by Tenez Mon Sep 02, 2019 8:50 pm

I don't know what it is about Rub but I like him. Maybe the fact I saw first time live at the Bank of England club for Wimby Qualy or the fact he plays with no moderation but I see potential.

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Post by Tenez Mon Sep 02, 2019 8:52 pm

bogbrush wrote:Zvetev really is so mediocre. Little Diego might be limited but he has real guts.
Let's not forget that it is the gutless games that won almost all slams in the last decade.

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Post by summerblues Mon Sep 02, 2019 10:26 pm

Zverev out hahahahaha.  Only two slam QF appearances in his career so far.

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Post by naxroy Mon Sep 02, 2019 10:45 pm

berretini will make the final

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Post by summerblues Mon Sep 02, 2019 11:06 pm

naxroy wrote:berretini will make the final
Good idea, with Nole gone, need to get your jinxes in early.

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Post by summerblues Mon Sep 02, 2019 11:06 pm

Here is mine:

Dimi will beat Fed.

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Post by summerblues Mon Sep 02, 2019 11:17 pm

On a somewhat more serious note, I also thought Berrettini looked quite good (I only saw the first two sets).  I was surprised how mature his game was, and how well he was able to both defend and be aggressive.  His shots looked more explosive than Rublev's (who was just pounding everything senselessly) but he also knew when to defend, and had a pretty good slice.

Still, I would be surprised if he made the final.

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Post by naxroy Tue Sep 03, 2019 12:00 am

I may have exagerated... but if I think of his game, his actual form, his season and his inmadiate opponents, I think he can do it


of course Rafa would be his major threat... but who knows, maybe some other does the job

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Post by summerblues Tue Sep 03, 2019 12:37 am

Cilic broken already Sad

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Post by summerblues Tue Sep 03, 2019 12:40 am

Breaks back smiley

Apparently the first time Rafa has been broken this USO.

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Post by naxroy Tue Sep 03, 2019 12:45 am

Cilic smashing every ball can work either way

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Post by summerblues Tue Sep 03, 2019 12:45 am

But Rafa breaks again Sad

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Post by summerblues Tue Sep 03, 2019 1:00 am

This is not going according to my plans.  Sad

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Post by summerblues Tue Sep 03, 2019 1:27 am

Cilic going through a purple patch here and putting Rafa under pressure.  Can he sustain it?  He is playing smart - big hitting where warranted but not all out blind aggression.  Even so, not sure if he can keep it up.  If he can, this match could still be interesting.

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Post by summerblues Tue Sep 03, 2019 1:30 am

Nadal has served more aces than Cilic. Sad

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Post by summerblues Tue Sep 03, 2019 1:40 am

Can Cilic serve the set out?  Pressure.

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Post by summerblues Tue Sep 03, 2019 1:45 am

Well done. One set apiece. Can we have a match maybe?

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Post by summerblues Tue Sep 03, 2019 1:51 am

Cilic needs to keep calm. Don't get overexcited.

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Post by summerblues Tue Sep 03, 2019 2:01 am

Cilic comes through a nervy service game. Rafa also showing signs of nerves.

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Post by summerblues Tue Sep 03, 2019 2:05 am

Rafa trying to up the aggression. Makes more mistakes, but presumably he concluded the more passive approach was not working.

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Post by summerblues Tue Sep 03, 2019 2:10 am

Cilic broken to love when he finishes the game with a DF. Sigh.

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Post by summerblues Tue Sep 03, 2019 2:24 am

This set was not pretty.  Does Cilic have any good stuff left for the fourth?

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Post by summerblues Tue Sep 03, 2019 2:30 am

Opening game - Cilic gets broken, finishing with another DF.  It does not look promising from here.

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Post by summerblues Tue Sep 03, 2019 2:36 am

Cilic misfiring a lot more now.

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Post by summerblues Tue Sep 03, 2019 3:12 am

Well, and that is that.  It was fun the first two sets but my experience deteriorated quickly after that.

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Post by N2D2L Tue Sep 03, 2019 3:15 am

Really good performance.

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Post by N2D2L Tue Sep 03, 2019 3:18 am


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Post by Jahu Tue Sep 03, 2019 8:42 am

So a little german plays under Argentine flag, while a tall Russian plays also under German flag, so who did the german fans root for?  Laugh

Good to see Zverev go home.

Berrettini really crushed that ball, happy to see him win.

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Post by Jahu Tue Sep 03, 2019 8:47 am

QF are here !!!

-----------------

Today - 03 Sept.

Stan - Medvedev

Fed - Dimi

---------------------

Tomorrow - 04 Sept

Monf - Berrettini

Nadal - Schwartzman

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Post by Tenez Tue Sep 03, 2019 8:55 am

Medvedev might be an easier opponent for Fed....and Fed needs as much rest as possible.

Shwartz will find the bounce very high.....but the earlier and harder he will hit the ball, the less time Nadal will be able to inject spin hence high bounce. So for Schwartz....no choice....he has to play a gutsy game.

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Post by Jahu Tue Sep 03, 2019 8:59 am

If Schwarz plays just like last night, he should take a set or 2, though Zverev was a joke. Maybe Rafa has a bad day.


Maybe Monf has decided he gonna kick the shit out of everyone in this GS.

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Post by Jahu Tue Sep 03, 2019 10:57 am

Federer is a combined 26-0 on HC surface against the players left on his half of the bracket. He is 6-0 on hard courts against Dimitrov, 17-0 against Stan Wawrinka and 3-0 against Daniil Medvedev.

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Post by raiders_of_the_lost_ark Tue Sep 03, 2019 11:25 am

Both Fed and Nadal are likely to reach finals. Nadal more so unless LeMonf beats him in a staggering performance.

Fed should not lose to any of the 3 remainings in his half. But last year he lost to Milkman so we don't know.

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Post by Tenez Tue Sep 03, 2019 11:38 am

Nadal still stands too far back for Federer. I see Berrettini as a bigger threat to Nadal than Monfils. Berrettini might enjoy Nadal high balls and he has easy power which Nadal fears. Problem is his sliced BH.... That won't work.

Monfils will do the running and against Nadal he certainly has not got the lungs for it.

But let's see what Schwartz can do first.

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