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USO 2018 Talk

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Who Is Going To Win USO 2018

20% 20% 
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40% 40% 
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Total Votes : 5

USO 2018 Talk

Post by noleisthebest on Fri Jul 27, 2018 9:26 pm

We’ve got one more slam left in 2018...and maybe the last slam in which we’ll see the big 3-4 all in their competitive prime.

Nole’s win in Wimbledon has poured cold water over Nadal’s quest for GOAThood, and Fed looked quite vulnerable, though I am still not writing him off.

Nadal is just a rampant physical beast, full stop.

At this stage I am not considering anyone else in the title conversation although Kev and Cilic and probably a few others could be dangerous up to the SF...

The biggest and most important is how slow USO will play.

With Nike now having only Nadal and Serena, I am assuming it will be super slow which of course sucks!!! Grr

Not to mention the rigged draws...

Very good decision by Fed to skip Toronto, that is telling me he means business in NY.

What do you all think?

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Re: USO 2018 Talk

Post by Daniel on Sat Jul 28, 2018 12:14 am

Interesting that you've made Djok and Fed as one of the faves to win...  given there is no proof Djok is back like before... and Fed hasn't won it in how long? And Nadal needed the easiest draw known to man last time.

Zverev, Kyrgios, Anderson, Cilic... all have more chance imho than Nadal and Fed.

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Re: USO 2018 Talk

Post by noleisthebest on Sun Jul 29, 2018 11:14 am

Daniel wrote:Interesting that you've made Djok and Fed as one of the faves to win...  given there is no proof Djok is back like before... and Fed hasn't won it in how long? And Nadal needed the easiest draw known to man last time.

Zverev, Kyrgios, Anderson, Cilic... all have more chance imho than Nadal and Fed.
Well, bookies seem to agree with me 🆒

https://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/us-open/mens

After all Fed, Nadal and Nole have shared the three slams this year...and  50 out of the last 60...there was nothing stopping Anderson and co to spoil that party for the last 10 years...

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Re: USO 2018 Talk

Post by Slippy on Sun Jul 29, 2018 11:55 am

Rafa’s last three hard court slams have seen him win one, lose a very close final in one and have to retire injured when looking good in the other. Given he only lost very narrowly to Novak at Wimbledon, where the courts suit him less, I’d make him favourite here. 

Novak second favourite and Fed third. Everyone else is likely to be an also-ran.

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Re: USO 2018 Talk

Post by noleisthebest on Sun Jul 29, 2018 12:30 pm

I hope Nole gets drawn in Nadal’s quarter. That would be brilliant.

Tough chance, though....

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Re: USO 2018 Talk

Post by Slippy on Sun Jul 29, 2018 1:02 pm

25% chance but I don’t think that’s ideal at all. Hopefully Novak will be in Zverev’s quarter, giving us a more balanced draw.

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Re: USO 2018 Talk

Post by noleisthebest on Sun Jul 29, 2018 1:56 pm

Naaaaah, since when have draws in USO ever been balanced?

I say let’s have a Nolee-Nadal QF blockbuster.

Bring it ooooon! diva

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Re: USO 2018 Talk

Post by Daniel on Sun Jul 29, 2018 2:22 pm

The bookies agree with you?

Clearly you have no idea how bookies work.  They work based on the odds but also HOW MANY PEOPLE ARE BETTING ON A CERTAIN OUTCOME.

If Federer had half a leg, he'd still be a "favourite".  The bookies work based on net profit.

Loads of people will always bet on Federer to win.

That's how it works.  Real term odds of Federer winning are way slimmer based on the last, you know, decade. 

Or put this an easier way... The bookies have been wrong about Federer being one of the favourites for US Open an awful lot recently.  And Nadal too off clay. 

The bookies agreed with you the last 10 years and lost 10 times. But they still made a massive profit.

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Re: USO 2018 Talk

Post by Daniel on Sun Jul 29, 2018 2:25 pm

Slippy wrote:Rafa’s last three hard court slams have seen him win one, lose a very close final in one and have to retire injured when looking good in the other. Given he only lost very narrowly to Novak at Wimbledon, where the courts suit him less, I’d make him favourite here. 

Novak second favourite and Fed third. Everyone else is likely to be an also-ran.

And given that he only one last year due to the easiest draw ever, I'd say the chances are much slimmer than you think.  What's his record off clay like these last 5 years?

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Re: USO 2018 Talk

Post by gallery play on Sun Jul 29, 2018 11:20 pm

It's between Nole and Nadal, again.

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Re: USO 2018 Talk

Post by raiders_of_the_lost_ark on Mon Jul 30, 2018 9:53 am

I'll go with Delpotro. Fed also depending on his form/fitness going into the USopen.

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Re: USO 2018 Talk

Post by naxroy on Mon Jul 30, 2018 12:21 pm

One always sees the last slam champion as a hot favourite... it is normal I guess

Novak showed he is back and hardcourt is his favourite surface...

Nadal is also in good form as it could be seen in the clay season and in wimbledon, where he did a great tournament and also a great semifinal, lost only in a few details.

I dont know what to expect from federer

as for a new winner... each slam we get closer to that happening I guess, but cant see it now

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Re: USO 2018 Talk

Post by DEC1M7 on Mon Jul 30, 2018 3:46 pm

I really doubt we'll get a new winner.

Djokovic and Nadal both played great at Wimbledon. If either can replicate that form, have a great shot at USO. Del Potro is a contender, but I think he'll pull off 1 big win max, don't see him pulling off 2 in a row to win the title.
Federer needs to improve on his Wimbledon display, obviously, but I wouldn't bet against him either. Scheduling is just Cincy as build up this time, which is better strategy than what he did last year. Maybe he's in a position where Nadal is sometimes heading into Monte Carlo, he needs a big win to boost his confidence.

Anderson, Kyrgios, Zverev, etc. sorry forget it

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