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USO 2015: The Finale

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summerblues
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Who Is Going To Win?

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USO 2015: The Finale - Page 2 Empty Re: USO 2015: The Finale

Post by Daniel Sun Sep 13, 2015 9:47 pm

Federer is coming off losing 0 sets this tournament, and a Cincinnati win against Murray and Djokovic. That's as good as it gets, really.

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Post by Tenez Sun Sep 13, 2015 9:56 pm

gallery play wrote:
Tenez wrote:
gallery play wrote:Another interesting edition of "the coach" (Patrick Mouratoglou) in Game Set Mats.

He pointed out it was Fed's second slice serve which killed him at Wimbledon. The second -kick- serve he usually hits on HC proved to be much more effective in Cinci.
Fed also did not return very well in the Wimbledon final, whereas it's the talk of the town since Cinci, and not only the SABR.
Fed was almost 2 yards (average) inside the court on Stan's second serve, and 1 yard on the first. On grass that's hard to do, if not impossible.

yes it is genrally easier to return on HC...but the wind (or lack of rather) is the main factor to take the ball early....as you can imagine.

Do you think he's in a better position than in the Wimbledon final?

he may be in a better physical state. Also less windy and regular bounce so more confident on his shots.

However....Djoko will play and move better too.

Frankly I can't see federer win....unless he plays 3 beautiful sets. I know he can....but unlikely.

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Post by Daniel Sun Sep 13, 2015 9:59 pm

Federer can win. If he brings his form with him. He didn't do that in the Wimbledon final - he got nervous and tired. And he blew it.

This is a faster court, and he's got a LOT of momentum. It's 50/50 at worst.

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Post by Tenez Sun Sep 13, 2015 10:09 pm

The other thing is that the balls are very slow at Wimbeldon. When teh weather is hot, they come off the racquet faster and the grass is quick enough to make it quite fast but shoudl it be cooler, sunless day and they become very slow.

Here at Flushing Meadow they seem to retain their speed longer which made the task very difficult for Murray and Djoko suffered as well v Agut.

Fed will have to unleash all his power.


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Post by noleisthebest Sun Sep 13, 2015 10:15 pm

Tenez wrote:The other thing is that the balls are very slow at Wimbeldon. When teh weather is hot, they come off the racquet faster and the grass is quick enough to make it quite fast but shoudl it be cooler, sunless day and they become very slow.

Here at Flushing Meadow they seem to retain their speed longer which made the task very difficult for Murray and Djoko suffered as well v Agut.

Fed will have to unleash all his power.

Maybe that's why he practised these early returns, it really improved his timing, he is hitting his FH quite flat compared to last year.

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Post by gallery play Sun Sep 13, 2015 10:19 pm

For what it's worth: every time Fed played against Djoko in NY, he got MP's...

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Post by noleisthebest Sun Sep 13, 2015 10:26 pm

Looks like it's going to start at 7pm NY time, that's another hour and a half! headhurts

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Post by AceofDeath Sun Sep 13, 2015 10:29 pm

Haven't seen Jahu here you were right in the end though tenez..

I'm more optimistic than I was at Wimbledon for Feds chances zen He has to be confident on break points aka don't chip it back!

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Post by gallery play Sun Sep 13, 2015 10:29 pm

noleisthebest wrote:Looks like it's going to start at 7pm NY time, that's another hour and a half! headhurts
Skip the wine nitb, otherwise you'll be sleeping. Winking

BTW: where did you read that?

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Post by Tenez Sun Sep 13, 2015 10:33 pm

gallery play wrote:
noleisthebest wrote:Looks like it's going to start at 7pm NY time, that's another hour and a half! headhurts
Skip the wine nitb, otherwise you'll be sleeping. Winking

BTW: where did you read that?
Laugh

12.00 here....1am in Holland. Tough! I am so sleepy. I drove 700km today to take my son to Leeds uni and back! I am knakered!

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Post by luvsports! Sun Sep 13, 2015 10:36 pm

Leeds! Is he a Leeds United fan like a certain great (and modest Winking ) guy I know?

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Post by noleisthebest Sun Sep 13, 2015 10:37 pm

gallery play wrote:
noleisthebest wrote:Looks like it's going to start at 7pm NY time, that's another hour and a half! headhurts
Skip the wine nitb, otherwise you'll be sleeping. Winking

BTW: where did you read that?
http://sport.blic.rs/Tenis/279285/Uzivo-KISA-U-NJUJORKU-pogledajte-kako-se-susi-teren-Djokovic--Federer

Now it says rain is getting heavier and heavier.

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Post by noleisthebest Sun Sep 13, 2015 10:38 pm

Tenez wrote:
gallery play wrote:
noleisthebest wrote:Looks like it's going to start at 7pm NY time, that's another hour and a half! headhurts
Skip the wine nitb, otherwise you'll be sleeping. Winking

BTW: where did you read that?
Laugh

12.00 here....1am in Holland. Tough! I am so sleepy. I drove 700km today to take my son to Leeds uni and back! I am knakered!

Aren't there any trains going to Leeds?

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Post by Tenez Sun Sep 13, 2015 10:39 pm

luvsports! wrote:Leeds! Is he a Leeds United fan like a certain great (and modest Winking ) guy I know?
Oh yeah...I forgot you studied there as well.

How was it? did you like it? Are you still there?

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Post by noleisthebest Sun Sep 13, 2015 10:39 pm

Latest: apparently according to ESPN, the latest the final will start is 8 or 9 PM NY time.

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Post by Tenez Sun Sep 13, 2015 10:40 pm

The centre is nice...but was not impressed by the new buildings bordering the town.

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Post by gallery play Sun Sep 13, 2015 10:41 pm

Tenez wrote:
gallery play wrote:
noleisthebest wrote:Looks like it's going to start at 7pm NY time, that's another hour and a half! headhurts
Skip the wine nitb, otherwise you'll be sleeping. Winking

BTW: where did you read that?
Laugh

12.00 here....1am in Holland. Tough! I am so sleepy. I drove 700km today to take my son to Leeds uni and back! I am knakered!

i'm off. I have a meeting tomorrow morning i can't miss. I was hoping it to be over by now 6-1 6-1 6-2 

If you make it: good luck!! USO 2015: The Finale - Page 2 3242797351  (let's pretend that's the ballerina smilie Winking )

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Post by Tenez Sun Sep 13, 2015 10:41 pm

noleisthebest wrote:Latest: apparently according to ESPN, the latest the final will start is 8 or 9 PM NY time.

I won't watch it then.

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Post by noleisthebest Sun Sep 13, 2015 10:41 pm

noleisthebest wrote:Latest: apparently according to ESPN, the latest the final will start is 8 or 9 PM NY time.
...but there is a possibility of it being moved to tomorrow!

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Post by AceofDeath Sun Sep 13, 2015 10:43 pm

Why didn't they have tarps ready for the rain?

Amateurs...

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Post by Tenez Sun Sep 13, 2015 10:43 pm

gallery play wrote:
Tenez wrote:
gallery play wrote:
noleisthebest wrote:Looks like it's going to start at 7pm NY time, that's another hour and a half! headhurts
Skip the wine nitb, otherwise you'll be sleeping. Winking

BTW: where did you read that?
Laugh

12.00 here....1am in Holland. Tough! I am so sleepy. I drove 700km today to take my son to Leeds uni and back! I am knakered!

i'm off. I have a meeting tomorrow morning i can't miss. I was hoping it to be over by now 6-1 6-1 6-2 

If you make it: good luck!! USO 2015: The Finale - Page 2 3242797351  (let's pretend that's the ballerina smilie Winking )
I bet it's going to be tomorrow. fed will be fresher and Djoko will have another whole day to get nervous. We remember too well what an extra day rest did to him in FO 2011.

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Post by luvsports! Sun Sep 13, 2015 10:45 pm

Tenez wrote:
luvsports! wrote:Leeds! Is he a Leeds United fan like a certain great (and modest Winking ) guy I know?
Oh yeah...I forgot you studied there as well.

How was it? did you like it? Are you still there?

Ha I never studied there, I just am a die hard Leeds utd fan.
I studied in Brum, the Paris of the Midlands.......

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Post by Tenez Sun Sep 13, 2015 10:47 pm

AceofDeath wrote:Why didn't they have tarps ready for the rain?

Amateurs...
Cause they have those amazing riding cars sucking water, blow-drying the court which they paid $1M each and therefore need to use.

The country where they'd use a missile to kill a fly.

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Post by noleisthebest Sun Sep 13, 2015 10:52 pm

Latest:


Follow
Brad Gilbert ✔@bgtennisnation
The weather forecast looks way better from 7ish on
10:41 PM - 13 Sep 2015
13 13 Retweets 23 23 favorites

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Post by Tenez Sun Sep 13, 2015 10:54 pm

luvsports! wrote:
Tenez wrote:
luvsports! wrote:Leeds! Is he a Leeds United fan like a certain great (and modest Winking ) guy I know?
Oh yeah...I forgot you studied there as well.

How was it? did you like it? Are you still there?

Ha I never studied there, I just am a die hard Leeds utd fan.
I studied in Brum, the Paris of the Midlands.......
Ah good on you. Leeds is way too much north for me.

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Post by noleisthebest Sun Sep 13, 2015 10:55 pm

Too tired...setting up alarm clock for 1am.... sleepy

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Post by summerblues Sun Sep 13, 2015 10:56 pm

noleisthebest wrote:I think Jahu is Nameless from bbc606.
and you are Lydian from 606? Jahu and Nameless; they are so unlike each other.

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Post by Tenez Sun Sep 13, 2015 10:57 pm


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Post by Tenez Sun Sep 13, 2015 10:57 pm

SB what's the weather like now?

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Post by summerblues Sun Sep 13, 2015 10:58 pm

I am almost certain they will play tonight. Forecast is quite good for the evening once the rain stops.

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Post by Tenez Sun Sep 13, 2015 10:59 pm

what's your take on the match SB?

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Post by summerblues Sun Sep 13, 2015 11:06 pm

Tenez wrote:what's your take on the match SB?
Oh I am too emotional to see it clearly.

I think Fed has a chance (but I thought the same before Wimbledon final and that was quite disappointing).  His average level of play this USO has been better than at Wimbledon (where his SF was outstanding, but otherwise his average play was weaker than here).  He is coming to the final after an easier SF.  Plus I have been very impressed with how he has been able to find ways to shorten the points while being successful doing that.  So I am hopeful, which will make any loss so much harder to take.

On the other hand, when I look at is differently I think that:
1.  If Nole takes the first set, he is almost guaranteed to win
2.  If Fed takes the first set, it is not much better than around 50/50
3.  I think the first set itself is around 50/50.

So based on that I would give 70/30 chance to Nole.  But even that gives Fed enough hope to make it stressful watching.

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Post by Daniel Sun Sep 13, 2015 11:14 pm

What's this I am hearing about fed injured? Is this just bollocks or what?

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Post by Tenez Sun Sep 13, 2015 11:16 pm

summerblues wrote:
Tenez wrote:what's your take on the match SB?
Oh I am too emotional to see it clearly.
Only a clear mind would be aware of his emotional bias.


I think Fed has a chance (but I thought the same before Wimbledon final and that was quite disappointing).  His average level of play this USO has been better than at Wimbledon (where his SF was outstanding, but otherwise his average play was weaker than here).  He is coming to the final after an easier SF.  Plus I have been very impressed with how he has been able to find ways to shorten the points while being successful doing that.  So I am hopeful, which will make any loss so much harder to take.

On the other hand, when I look at is differently I think that:
1.  If Nole takes the first set, he is almost guaranteed to win
2.  If Fed takes the first set, it is not much better than around 50/50
3.  I think the first set itself is around 50/50.

So based on that I would give 70/30 chance to Nole.  But even that gives Fed enough hope to make it stressful watching.
Yes, I can share those numbers too.I'd just add that if fed plays his best tennis, he is guaranteed to win,.

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Post by Tenez Sun Sep 13, 2015 11:16 pm

FedererKing wrote:What's this I am hearing about fed injured?  Is this just bollocks or what?
Where did you hear that?

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Post by luvsports! Sun Sep 13, 2015 11:21 pm

Bollocks

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Post by Tenez Sun Sep 13, 2015 11:30 pm

strange. Hopefully..that's a wrong rumour....otherwise that's too bad.

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Post by Daniel Mon Sep 14, 2015 12:10 am

It's starting.  But imho this delay and rain now favours Novak.  It's annoying.  

It's ridiculous that they're too retarded to use a cover, or to actually check the next 6 hour weather forecast (fairly accurate).

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Post by Tenez Mon Sep 14, 2015 12:15 am

FedererKing wrote:It's starting.  But imho this delay and rain now favours Novak.  It's annoying.  

It's ridiculous that they're too retarded to use a cover, or to actually check the next 6 hour weather forecast (fairly accurate).
no excuse here. It's just goes down to whether Fed's talent is greater than Djoko's fitness.

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Post by Daniel Mon Sep 14, 2015 12:17 am

Tenez wrote:
FedererKing wrote:It's starting.  But imho this delay and rain now favours Novak.  It's annoying.  

It's ridiculous that they're too retarded to use a cover, or to actually check the next 6 hour weather forecast (fairly accurate).
no excuse here. It's just goes down to whether Fed's talent is greater than Djoko's fitness.

conditions matter, especially for someone no longer in his prime.

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Post by Daniel Mon Sep 14, 2015 12:20 am

Is that Castle? He and the other don't even know this would be fed's 6th US Open. They think it's his 7th!

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Post by Daniel Mon Sep 14, 2015 12:21 am

Fed has the crowd support though and I know that always pisses Novak off for some reason.

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Post by Daniel Mon Sep 14, 2015 12:23 am

Already Fed's 1st serve % not good. And missing a lot of forehands.

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Post by Daniel Mon Sep 14, 2015 12:23 am

Better.

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Post by Daniel Mon Sep 14, 2015 12:25 am

Double fault... haha. This is not the way Federer wanted to start.

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Post by Tenez Mon Sep 14, 2015 12:25 am

Fed is too aggressive.

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Post by luvsports! Mon Sep 14, 2015 12:27 am

Wow

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Post by Daniel Mon Sep 14, 2015 12:27 am

Federer cannot allow those kind of service games to keep happening. That was not Djokovic playing well, that was Federer messing serve and forehands up. Even a net shot.

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Post by Daniel Mon Sep 14, 2015 12:28 am

Meanwhile Djokovic 1st serve in much better and wins to love.

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