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Expert Analysis: 6 reasons why Thiem will beat Nadal

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Expert Analysis: 6 reasons why Thiem will beat Nadal

Post by DEC1M7 on Sun Jun 10, 2018 12:56 pm

For those of you thinking that this is a jinx etc., I can assure you it is my genuine honest opinion. Not only am I confident that Thiem will beat Nadal, but I can list the main reasons why.
Please also bear in mind while reading these 6 reasons that I am a tennis expert.

1/ Nadal is making too many unforced errors
Nadal is making many unforced errors, especially on the backhand side, missing regulation shots. A solid baseliner like Thiem will make him pay for that. It will lead to Nadal losing confidence and then dropping the ball short.

2/ Nadal nowhere near as fast as previous years
It's all well and good crushing Gasquet who is 5m behind the baseline, but when Nadal did play badly vs Shwartzmann and drop the ball short, it became clear how much slower he is compared to the past. Most of his previous 10 titles came when he had sensational speed, however now he struggles to make ground when behind in a rally. He's still good defensively when he does reach the ball as he has the ability to make the next shot awkward for the opposition, but number of balls he reaches is way down.

3/ Thiem beat Nadal in their last match in straights
Thiem won their last match in straights, it was on the clay of Madrid where Nadal had home support. Thiem has beaten Nadal twice in the past 2 years, and his form is better now than it was back in Madrid, in fact I've watched his matches this for night and he's playing better than ever, form of his life.

4/ Weather suits Thiem
There are contradicting forecasts, but the nightmare possibility, also known as Bogbrush's dream situation, of light rain during the match but not enough to go off, is possible.

5/ Nadal serving very badly
One thing Nadal was doing well last season was serving well, especially the flatter serve into the right hander's forehand. However that serve seems to have disappeared, and his serve was genuinely worse than 5'7 Schwartzmann in the QF. Nadal is barely getting any unreturnables or even setting himself up for the 1-2, his serve has proven to be a liability this fortnight. Thiem meanwhile is serving huge, so will have a big advantage from the off.

6/ Old Nadal won't have the stamina
Aged 32, Nadal's recent record in the past few years in 5 setters has been abysmal, he looks tired very easily. Thiem meanwhile is 25 which is close to physical prime. Thiem has also played much less tennis than Nadal over the past 2 weeks, more gas left in the tank. Only hope for Nadal if it does become an extended match is that it starts raining and he can claim the rain is too much before scurrying off to the locker room.


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Re: Expert Analysis: 6 reasons why Thiem will beat Nadal

Post by noleisthebest on Sun Jun 10, 2018 1:18 pm

Oh Dec....your faithful (jinxing) dedication to Nadal is endearing!

It would indeed be great of Thiem won today...if nothing than for your nic DECIMA to remain the same...it sounds perfect.

Though 666 would be more appropriate, but then again not even Nadal’s doctors could make him last that long!  Laugh

So your 6 reasons to why he is going to lose today will have to do.

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Re: Expert Analysis: 6 reasons why Thiem will beat Nadal

Post by Jahu on Sun Jun 10, 2018 1:53 pm

What is this? 6 reasons to convince and prepare yourself that Nadal will lose today?

If Nadal wins, will you quit writing analysis?

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Re: Expert Analysis: 6 reasons why Thiem will beat Nadal

Post by Tenez on Sun Jun 10, 2018 2:27 pm

We know you. 6 ways to try to jinx the outcome!

You would rather look foolish than having Nadal losing!

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Re: Expert Analysis: 6 reasons why Thiem will beat Nadal

Post by summerblues on Sun Jun 10, 2018 2:33 pm

At first I read the title: "Expert Analysis 6: reasons why Thiem will beat Nadal.

That would have been a better title.

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Re: Expert Analysis: 6 reasons why Thiem will beat Nadal

Post by bogbrush on Sun Jun 10, 2018 4:32 pm

This is excellent, perhaps one of the finest examples of World Class jinxing.

To write so much with believing a word of it.... truly impressive Amrit!

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