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Australian Open 2016 - Day 5 (and predictions)

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Post by Tenez Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:22 pm

A Joker from now on.....doubling points.

Novak Djokovic (SRB) [1] v Andreas Seppi (ITA) [28]

Federico Delbonis (ARG) v Gilles Simon (FRA) [14]

Jo-Wilfried Tsonga (FRA) [9] v Pierre-Hugues Herbert (FRA)

Guillermo Garcia-Lopez (ESP) [26] v Kei Nishikori (JPN) [7]

Roger Federer (SUI) [3] v Grigor Dimitrov (BUL) [27]

Dominic Thiem (AUT) [19] v David Goffin (BEL) [15]

Marin Cilic (CRO) [12] v Roberto Bautista Agut (ESP) [24]

Nick Kyrgios (AUS) [29] v Tomas Berdych (CZE) [6]

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Post by Tenez Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:23 pm

A Joker from now on.....doubling points. And of course non seeded players are worth 33.

Novak Djokovic (SRB) [1] v Andreas Seppi (ITA) [28]          

Federico Delbonis (ARG) v Gilles Simon (FRA) [14]          

Jo-Wilfried Tsonga (FRA) [9] v Pierre-Hugues Herbert (FRA)          

Guillermo Garcia-Lopez (ESP) [26] v Kei Nishikori (JPN) [7]          

Roger Federer (SUI) [3] v Grigor Dimitrov (BUL) [27]          

Dominic Thiem (AUT) [19] v David Goffin (BEL) [15]          

Marin Cilic (CRO) [12] v Roberto Bautista Agut (ESP) [24]          

Nick Kyrgios (AUS) [29] v Tomas Berdych (CZE) [6]


Last edited by Tenez on Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:41 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Post by noleisthebest Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:35 pm

Djokovic, Simon, Tsonga, Nishikori, Thiem, Cilic, Kyrgios jester , Federer.

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Post by noleisthebest Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:47 pm

Top half is so much more interesting  than the bottom one.

Though they don't make late rounds, I miss Gasquet and Kokkinakis this AO.

There are a lot of bland American and Australian players in the draw atm.
As well as the "useless" ones: Delbonis, Seppi...

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Post by Tenez Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:48 pm

Novak Djokovic (SRB) [1]
Gilles Simon (FRA) [14]
Pierre-Hugues Herbert (FRA) Djoker
Kei Nishikori (JPN) [7]
Roger Federer (SUI) [3]
David Goffin (BEL) [15]
Roberto Bautista Agut (ESP) [24]
Tomas Berdych (CZE) [6] (though I suspect Thomas might get irritated by the crowd....and the player!

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Post by Tenez Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:49 pm

noleisthebest wrote:Top half is so much more interesting  than the bottom one.

Though they don't make late rounds, I miss Gasquet and Kokkinakis this AO.

There are a lot of bland American and Australian players in the draw atm.
As well as the "useless" ones: Delbonis, Seppi...

It has always been th ecase that one draw is more interesting than the other but here it striking! I sleep well every other night!


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Post by noleisthebest Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:52 pm

Tenez wrote:
noleisthebest wrote:Top half is so much more interesting  than the bottom one.

Though they don't make late rounds, I miss Gasquet and Kokkinakis this AO.

There are a lot of bland American and Australian players in the draw atm.
As well as the "useless" ones: Delbonis, Seppi...

It has always been th ecase that one draw is more interesting than the other but here it striking! I sleep well every other night!
I only stayed up for Nole-Chung.
Woke up for Fed-Dolgo, but then decided to keep sleeping Blush

May watch Fed-Dimi tonight. Dimi strugglng with confidence.


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Post by noleisthebest Thu Jan 21, 2016 4:12 pm

Tenez wrote: 
Tomas Berdych (CZE) [6] (though I suspect Thomas might get irritated by the crowd....and the player!
Though I played my joker on Kyrgios, I'd be glad if he loses.
His irritability factor has risen sharp this AO: his haircut is disgusting, the sleeveless top, the pathetic, egomaniacal attitude oozing through his frowning, negative face...

Simply can't stand him!

There... I feel better now Big Grin

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Post by luvsports! Thu Jan 21, 2016 4:44 pm

Seppi, kyrgios (joker), simon, tsonga, thiem, dimi, nishi, cilic

Sillly goose:  djok simon tsonga kei roger goff cilic kyr (joker)

Hugh Jass: djoko, simon tsonga, feds nish thiem cilic kyr (joker)


Last edited by luvsports! on Sat Jan 23, 2016 12:54 am; edited 1 time in total

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Post by Daniel Thu Jan 21, 2016 6:19 pm

I've had a small bet on a dimi - kyrgios double @ around 15-1.  Just 5 quid on it.

Dimitrov has it in him to cause an upset, for sure.

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Post by luvsports! Thu Jan 21, 2016 6:53 pm

Are you going to predict Feds loses every match he plays FK?

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Post by Daniel Thu Jan 21, 2016 9:35 pm

luvsports! wrote:Are you going to predict Feds loses every match he plays FK?

I only bet on those I am more sure about - I didn't bet on any of the other matches.  In fact, my bets on tennis have been pretty good.  Plus, 5 quid gives you an indication as to my conviction (not too great).  I placed 100 quid on Wawrinka beating Djokovic at the FO.

I didn't predict Dolgo to beat Federer - and I don't predict Dimi too either, despite the bet. I merely wasn't going to be surprised - as I won't be if Dimi wins.  But I am saying I find it more likely that Federer will lose than win - and hence the bet.  Ironically, Kyrgios will end up messing my bet up. Laugh

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Post by summerblues Thu Jan 21, 2016 10:33 pm

Seppi
Simon
Tsonga
Nishikori
Dimitrov
Thiem (joker)
Cilic
Kyrgios

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Post by Tenez Thu Jan 21, 2016 11:34 pm

noleisthebest wrote:
Tenez wrote: 
Tomas Berdych (CZE) [6] (though I suspect Thomas might get irritated by the crowd....and the player!
Though I played my joker on Kyrgios, I'd be glad if he loses.
His irritability factor has risen sharp this AO: his haircut is disgusting, the sleeveless top, the pathetic, egomaniacal attitude oozing through his frowning, negative face...

Simply can't stand him!

There... I feel better now Big Grin

yep...not watching him either.

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Post by noleisthebest Fri Jan 22, 2016 12:00 am

Goffin-Thiem could be interesting...just to see them now and then imagine their game in 5-6 years...

I can't imagine Goffin being much different, but can Thiem.

SBH-ers mature thoroughly in all dimensions - timing, confidence, and above all - creativity., whereas with DBH-ers, they go the other way round - and the more they "improve" the more they look like hybrids.

Anyway...it's been a dull and uneventful week despite Nadal's 1st round exit.

Even Fed-Dimi doesn't hold much promise...there is this feeling of deja vu about it...

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Post by noleisthebest Fri Jan 22, 2016 12:55 am

Thiem playing some nice baseline tennis.
Goffin is really nothing more than a clean hitting grinder.

Very impressd with Thiem's BH. Sturdy and excelent in defending. How did he manage to lose the first set 6:1?
Probably took him time to get used to indoor conditions.

Saw a few points of Nishi GG Looez, GG started taking the ball early?

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Post by Tenez Fri Jan 22, 2016 5:35 am

soem great BH from fed..giving him teh first break. 4/3 first set.

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Post by Tenez Fri Jan 22, 2016 6:11 am

Fed has gone off the boil. he led 5/3 0/40 up on Dimi's serve (3 points for double break and set)....and from there terrible tennis. Nearly lost his break in the first set....and is now 1/4 down in the second.

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Post by Tenez Fri Jan 22, 2016 6:18 am

fed wasting 2 BPs to get back onto the set....52 Dimi

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Post by Tenez Fri Jan 22, 2016 6:37 am

Fed leads 3/0 in the 3rd...but looks tired.

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Post by raiders_of_the_lost_ark Fri Jan 22, 2016 7:04 am

Tenez wrote:Fed leads 3/0 in the 3rd...but looks tired.
 I can't believe how liberal you are with Fed when it comes to giving a 'tired' excuse. You use it even when he is winning. What do want the match to be? Best of 5 points?

Fed lost focus and hence the 2nd set. He also had many chances to break-back but wasted those.

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Post by noleisthebest Fri Jan 22, 2016 7:47 am

Tenez wrote:soem great BH from fed..giving him teh first break. 4/3 first set.
Sad


Woke up at 4, but Sharapova. Just started the third set...

All,I saw was him signing things for thr fans and now giving intervirw in Swiss...he looks happy.

Also saw e stats, looks loke he was very aggressive, which doesn't surprise me...Dimi is uite a physical player.

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Post by noleisthebest Fri Jan 22, 2016 7:50 am

Tenez wrote:Fed leads 3/0 in the 3rd...but looks tired.

Yes...Dimi plays a milder version of Nole's tennis...(minus th BH), vey good defenve amd deep&fast FH.
Luckily it's Goffin next, so he may have a chance to recover a bit.

What do you think?

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Post by noleisthebest Fri Jan 22, 2016 7:57 am

raiders_of_the_lost_ark wrote:
Tenez wrote:Fed leads 3/0 in the 3rd...but looks tired.
 I can't believe how liberal you are with Fed when it comes to giving a 'tired' excuse. You use it even when he is winning. What do want the match to be? Best of 5 points?

Fed lost focus and hence the 2nd set. He also had many chances to break-back but wasted those.

He,he...I don't think that's an excus, just an observation, rotla...Fed is nearly 35 playing a young, physical guy...the fact Fed gets tired so early confirms he plays clean, as well.

That's all...the game has changed and we are sad to see such a talent look "old and declined" unfairly.

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Post by noleisthebest Fri Jan 22, 2016 7:59 am

How was Fed's serving?

Did Dimi make him run?

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Post by Tenez Fri Jan 22, 2016 8:03 am

raiders_of_the_lost_ark wrote:
Tenez wrote:Fed leads 3/0 in the 3rd...but looks tired.
 I can't believe how liberal you are with Fed when it comes to giving a 'tired' excuse. You use it even when he is winning. What do want the match to be? Best of 5 points?

Fed lost focus and hence the 2nd set. He also had many chances to break-back but wasted those.

Bizarre comment Rotla....why do yuo think I am trying to find excuses? I am saying tired while he leads....so not trying to find excuses. And how is "losing focus" any less of an excuse? In both cases none of us is giving Dimi any credit.

And what if fed appears tired to me? Should not I mention it?

Dimi played terrible. Fed poorly and I would not be surprised if he is going to say it in his interview.

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Post by raiders_of_the_lost_ark Fri Jan 22, 2016 8:39 am

I think you give tired excuse a lot easily for Fed than anyone else. 

Fed lost 2nd set, due to loss of focus. He didn't really had to play too well to win the 1st and was cruising. This can lead to loss of focus and Fed himself has admitted on multiple occasions. He himself said that his mind can wander mid match especially in the earlier rounds.

Only a bit more focussed and he easily wins the next-2. Nothing like tired at all. 

You can mention if you think looked tired, but why does fed appeared tired to you? Did he play grinders for 4+ hours in the earlier 2 rounds?  No, correct.

It wasn't even a long 1st set.

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Post by Tenez Fri Jan 22, 2016 8:46 am

raiders_of_the_lost_ark wrote:I think you give tired excuse a lot easily for Fed than anyone else.
His age plus the fact he seems to be clean makes him tired pretty quickly. It's something I certainly notice. But in any case, it's not "an excuse". I don't look for excuses. In Sydney he lost in the final essentially because he had flu. He said it. Call this an excuse if you want but the fact he has flue. You shoudl know me better by now. I am not looking for excuses. If I were, I'd say he is past his peak since 2006 and that woudl be it. I never used that excuse....unlike others!

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Post by raiders_of_the_lost_ark Fri Jan 22, 2016 10:33 am

The 3rd set TB is getting interesting... Comeon Seppi

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Post by raiders_of_the_lost_ark Fri Jan 22, 2016 10:38 am

well that's what separates champions from the rest...3 easy misses 2 of them on set points.. Seppi. erm

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Post by Tenez Fri Jan 22, 2016 10:45 am

At least it's good to see that Djoko can lose a set.

Was he playing well or was that Djoko dropping level badly?

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Post by Tenez Fri Jan 22, 2016 10:55 am

Berdych, another player playing better at 30 than 26.....much better in fact.

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Post by Daniel Fri Jan 22, 2016 10:56 am

Impressive by Federer.  Didn't expect a win to be as comfortable as that against Dimi. He's doing v well considering the draw.

What he really needs, though, is someone to deal with Djok.  It's also not looking good for Kyrgios....


Tenez.... no.  Berdych isn't better at 30 - which is again why he's not doing as much as he once did in tournaments.  These are the facts:

Paris Masters title: 2005.
Wimbledon final: 2010 (when Federer and Nadal were far better than today, as well).


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Post by raiders_of_the_lost_ark Fri Jan 22, 2016 10:58 am

Tenez wrote:At least it's good to see that Djoko can lose a set.

Was he playing well or was that Djoko dropping level badly?

Seppi was playing really good. He was 2-4 down in the TB but managed to win next 4 to go 2 set points up at 6-4* and 6*-5. But squandered them both of e regulation easy UEs. Then again at 6-6 and serving netted an easy ball. And another when on Djokovic's serve to lose the set 7-6(6)

He is a bag of nerves when reaching the end of the set. Loses a lot of times from advantage positions. Djokovi'c level was high generally. Only Nadal makes him look better than he often is.

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Post by Tenez Fri Jan 22, 2016 11:40 am

raiders_of_the_lost_ark wrote:
Tenez wrote:At least it's good to see that Djoko can lose a set.

Was he playing well or was that Djoko dropping level badly?

Seppi was playing really good. He was 2-4 down in the TB but managed to win next 4 to go 2 set points up at 6-4* and 6*-5. But squandered them both of e regulation easy UEs. Then again at 6-6 and serving netted an easy ball. And another when on Djokovic's serve to lose the set 7-6(6)

He is a bag of nerves when reaching the end of the set. Loses a lot of times from advantage positions. Djokovi'c level was high generally. Only Nadal makes him look better than he often is.

Yes....but he is not the only one v Djoko. Even Federer gets nervous when playing someone who can retrieve anything.


Shame!

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Post by Tenez Fri Jan 22, 2016 12:32 pm

Rotla....for you

Q. The roof being closed changed the conditions today. You are widely considered to be one of the greatest indoor players of all time. Do you think the roof being closed helps you or do you think it's equal for everyone?
ROGER FEDERER: Yeah, I mean, I would think it could be helpful for me. But, you know -- yeah, I don't know. Today didn't come automatically (snapping fingers). I had to push myself, remind myself what to do. These are the great matches to win, I tell you that, because you're not going to feel 100% great every single time when you go out there. But important is to win those matches maybe where you felt a little off almost sometimes.

=====================
Glad Berdych sent Kyrgios packing!

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Post by bogbrush Fri Jan 22, 2016 12:44 pm

I thought Federer looked very patchy, certainly no chance of winning the event on that form.

Nice to reach 300 Slam match wins.

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Post by Tenez Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:59 pm

Hi BB.....yep agree. This is what I say above.

Very slow on his feet...from 5/3 first set.

Dimi played very poorly.

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Post by truffin1 Fri Jan 22, 2016 4:55 pm

Tenez wrote:Hi BB.....yep agree. This is what I say above.

Very slow on his feet...from 5/3 first set.

Dimi played very poorly.
In defense of Tenez- Fed did say to  Courier after the match that he suddenly felt " oddly tired" in the second set, and that he got a second wind at some point.

Feds foot speed is definitely off or declining, but his hands skills are still incredible.

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Post by Tenez Fri Jan 22, 2016 6:12 pm

Thanks Truff.

What do you say now Rotla? Is Fed trying to look for "excuses" as well? I believe the specificity of OTF is that we are all mature here and this is just a place where we can say what we see without those typical fanship emotions.

Personally I think Fed did not look much better after the second set but played smartly and secure enough to exploit a poor display from Dimi.

5 DF is also quite a bit from Fed.

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